Identifizierung und Verhinderung von zukünftigen Sicherheitsrisiken

Selected for the Global Economic Symposium 2011

The last decade has clearly demonstrated that the nature of threats and challenges for international security has changed significantly. Structural threats like terrorism, cyber-attacks, and nuclear proliferation have created an entirely new security environment. The national states’ monopoly on using force is eroding, state-boundaries have lost much of their importance, and private actors become increasingly powerful in international security. History has demonstrated that many security threats would have never grown into a full-fledged problem, if they would have been identified and addressed at an earlier stage. Today, leaders and societies have to act as early as possible to reduce the probability that well-known (and lesser known) risks develop their potential of turning into serious threats for regional or even global security. Identifying realistic potential scenarios where terrorism, insurgency, nuclear proliferation, or cyber-attacks could evolve from an abstract and hypothetical menace to a real and severe problem and seeking tangible solutions for prevention are key challenges.

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Wesentliches Schlagwort: International security

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Literaturliste

Linking peacebuilding and statebuilding : a new paradigm for UN response to fragile situations / Ursula Werther-Pietsch and Anna-Katharina Roithner.

  • Linking peacebuilding and statebuilding : a new paradigm for UN response to fragile situations / Ursula Werther-Pietsch and Anna-Katharina Roithner.
    (2011) In: Development dialogue. – Uppsala. – Bd. 2011,55, (Mar.2011) S. 153-182.

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Changing conceptions of security and the G8 / Manuel Fröhlich.

Security governance in the transatlantic area : United States, NATO and the European Union / Roberto Domínguez.

  • Security governance in the transatlantic area : United States, NATO and the European Union / Roberto Domínguez.
    (2011) In: The EU and federalism. – Farnham, Surrey [u.a.]. – 2011, S. 223-243.

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The dark side of globalization / ed. by Jorge Heine and Ramesh Thakur.

Economic instruments of security policy : influencing choices of leaders / Gary M. Shiffman and James J. Jochum.

Government decentralization as a disincentive for transnational terror? : an empirical analysis / by Axel Dreher and Justina A. V. Fischer.
Using panel data for a maximum of 109 countries over the years 1976-2000, we empirically analyze the impact of decentralization on the occurrence of transnational terror. Our results show that expenditure decentralization reduces the number of transnational terror events in a country, while political decentralization has no impact. These results are robust to the choice of control variables and method of estimation.

  • Government decentralization as a disincentive for transnational terror? : an empirical analysis / by Axel Dreher and Justina A. V. Fischer.
    (2010) In: International economic review. – Bd. 51.2010, 4, (Nov.2010) S. 981-1002.

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  • Government decentralization as a disincentive for transnational terror? : an empirical analysis / Axel Dreher ; Justina A. V. Fischer.
    (2009) CESifo working paper series ; 2699 : Public choice; 39 S.

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  • Government decentralization as a disincentive for transnational terror? : an empirical analysis / Axel Dreher; Justina A. V. Fischer.
    (2009) Discussion paper series / Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit ; 4259; Online-Ressource (40 S.).

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  • Government decentralization as a disincentive for transnational terror? : an empirical analysis / Axel Dreher and Justina A. V. Fischer.
    (2009) Hohenheimer Diskussionsbeiträge ; 313; 40, III Bl.

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  • Government decentralization as a disincentive for transnational terror? : an empirical analysis / Axel Dreher; Justina A.V. Fischer.
    (2009) CESifo working paper ; 2699 : Public choice; Online-Ressource ( 39 S.).

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Islamistic terror and the labour market prospects of Arab men in England : does a country’s direct involvement matter? / Nils Braakmann.
This paper examines whether the labor market prospects of Arab men in England are influenced by recent Islamistic terrorist attacks and the war on Iraq. We use data from the British Labour Force Survey from Spring 2001 to Winter 2006 and treat the terrorist attacks on the USA on September 11th, 2001, the Madrid train bombings on March 11th, 2004 and the London bombings on July 7th, 2005, as well as the beginning of the war on Iraq on March 20th, 2003, as natural experiments possibly having led to a change in attitudes toward Arab or Muslim men. Using treatment group definitions based on ethnicity, country of birth, current nationality, and religion, evidence from regression-adjusted di_erence-in-di_erences-estimators indicates that the real wages, hours worked and employment probabilities of Arab men were unchanged by the attacks. This finding is in line with prior evidence from Europe.

  • Islamistic terror and the labour market prospects of Arab men in England : does a country’s direct involvement matter? / Nils Braakmann.
    (2010) In: Scottish journal of political economy. – Bd. 57.2010, 4, (Sep.2010) S. 430-454.

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  • Islamistic terror, the war on Iraq and the job prospects of Arab men in Britain : does a country’s direct involvement matter? / Nils Braakmann.
    (17 Dec. 2007) University of Lueneburg working paper series in economics ; 70; Online-Ressource, 39 S., Text.

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Hacker wars : cyber warfare previews / Richard Baskerville.

The libertarian origins of cybercrime : unintended side-effects of a political utopia / Jeanette Hofmann.

  • The libertarian origins of cybercrime : unintended side-effects of a political utopia / Jeanette Hofmann.
    (2010) Discussion paper / Center for Analysis of Risk and Regulation ; 62; II, 24 S.

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Cybersecurity : stakeholder incentives, externalities, and policy options / Johannes M. Bauer; Michel J. G. van Eeten.

  • Cybersecurity : stakeholder incentives, externalities, and policy options / Johannes M. Bauer; Michel J. G. van Eeten.
    (2009) In: Telecommunications policy. – Amsterdam. – Bd. 33.2009, 10/11, (11/12.2009) S. 706-719.

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